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The Black Sea Grain Deal Sparks Renewed Woes, Pushing Wheat Prices Up

by John Pierce
July 3, 2023
in Business
3 min read
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Russia’s threat to bypass a historic grain deal boosted prices, with Chicago wheat futures prices rose more from 1% on Monday, rising for the first time in Four sessions.

Corn prices plummeted, weighing them down down by improved weather prospects for American Spring Farms.

Terry Riley, a senior analyst At Futures International.

Ukraine export deal set to finish in May and Turkey are looking to extend it. Meanwhile, Russia will like To broker a deal involving fertilizer exports.”

more-active wheat contract on Chicago Council of Commerce (CBOT) gained 1.1% at 6.82-3/4 a bushel of 4:32 a.m. GMT. Corn prices fell 0.2 percent to $6.42 a bushel, while soybeans fell added 0.3% to $14.96-1/4 a bushel.

Russia on Friday threatened to bypass the UN-brokered Turkish grain deal unless there were no obstacles to its agricultural exports removed. At the same time he speaks in Türkiye agreed to the removal of Barriers were a necessary condition for Extend the agreement beyond next Month.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that he and his Turkish counterpart, Mevlut Cavusoglu, discussed ” failure”To implement terms of Deal.

He said that Russia can work outside If it’s western countries Maintaining what he said were obstacles to the agricultural exports it was getting tougher.

The Black Sea grain deal brokered by Turkey is seen as an attempt by the United Nations to alleviate a food crisis that predates Russia. invasion of Ukraine, but it was made worse than most deadly war in Europe since World War II.

Deal, first Signed by Russia, Ukraine, Turkey and the United Nations in July last year And twice extended and allows for export of Food and fertilizers, including ammonia, from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports of Odessa, Chornomorsk, Yuzhny / Bevdenye.

While the West did not put sanctions on Russian Food and Fertilizer Exports, Moscow says They’re at risk because of hurdles – like insurance and payment hurdles – that says It must removed.

Russia and Ukraine are two of The most important producers of agricultural commodities in the worldand Raed players in Markets wheat, barley, rapeseed corn, rapeseed oil, sunflower seeds and sunflower oil. Russia also dominant on compost market.

Since her signing, the cereal deal has been for a period of 120 days extended twiceOnce in november and a second time in March, although Russia said the extension in March was just that for 60 days.

Meanwhile, expectations for warmer and drier weather in American agricultural belt added to press on Traders said the futures contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, because it will encourage the cultivation of corn and soybeans.

Grain traders await the US monthly farm supplies and demand Report due on Tuesday.

Total US soybean export sales amounted to 155,300 tons for week ending March 30, down 42% from the previous four-week average, US Department of State of Agriculture said. that was below Analyst forecasts for 200,000 to 600,000 tons. it was there net cancellations of 48,300 tons for 2023/2024.

For corn, US weekly export sales of 1.2 million tons for 2022/2023 was within analyst estimates. However, some were hopeful for The largest number after the US Department of agriculture recently made series of daily sales announcements to china.

Agribusiness consultancy Safras & Mercado on Thursday raised its estimate for Brazilian soybean crop 2022/2023 to 155.08 million tons from 152.43 million tons in previous expectation.

Big speculators cut back net short position in Corn futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in the week ending April 4, regulatory The data has been released on Show Friday.

CFTC Weekly Commitments of Traders report also It showed that non-commercial traders, a category that includes hedge funds, increased net short position in CBOT’s wheat raise net long stand in soybean.

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