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Coinbase Takes Stake in Circle, but Wall Street Analysts Predict Delayed Benefits

by Hashem Ali
August 23, 2023
in Business
2 min read
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Coinbase’s Investment in Circle’s Stablecoin Raises Questions for Investors

Background

Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange platform, recently acquired a minor equity stake in Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin in the world. The agreement includes a 50/50 revenue share of interest income going forward. Additionally, Coinbase and Circle announced the closure of Centre, a consortium they co-founded and managed together, due to the growing regulatory clarity for stablecoins.

Impact on Coinbase Investors

Although Wall Street analysts believe that Coinbase may benefit from this investment in the long term, they suggest that the immediate impact on investors may be limited. The USDC market cap has decreased by nearly 42% since the beginning of the year, and interest rates are subject to change. However, analysts predict potential upside to Coinbase’s interest income estimates.

Analysts’ Perspectives

Analysts from Key Banc Capital Markets, JPMorgan, and Barclays have shared their views on Coinbase’s investment. Key Banc Capital Markets’ analyst, Alex Markgraff, sees potential upside to interest income estimates. JPMorgan’s Kenneth Worthington considers USDC as a significant revenue source for Coinbase, while mentioning regulatory challenges and bearishness in the crypto markets. Barclays analyst Ramsey El-Assal suggests that the investment could lead to cost savings and increased earnings projections for Coinbase.

Stablecoins and Their Importance

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable value by being pegged to an underlying asset, typically a fiat currency like the US dollar. They provide less volatility compared to other cryptocurrencies and serve as a means of liquidity between traditional markets and the crypto industry.

Mixed Reactions from Analysts

While some analysts are optimistic about Coinbase’s investment in Circle’s stablecoin, Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev expresses skepticism. He believes that this move is a desperate attempt to revive the declining stablecoin sector and raises doubts about the standalone business model of stablecoins.

Industry Development

Coinbase’s investment in Circle comes at a time when major financial institutions like PayPal have also entered the stablecoin market. PayPal recently launched its own dollar-backed stablecoin, PayPal USD, reinforcing the growing interest in stablecoins. Additionally, the US Congress is currently considering a stablecoin bill, which further highlights the importance of stablecoins in the crypto industry.

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