As the United States warns that Russia could invade Ukraine any day, the drumbeat of war is anything but unheard of in Moscow, where experts and ordinary people nor do you expect President Vladimir Putin to launch a attack on son former Soviet neighbor.
The Kremlin issued the American warnings of an imminent attack like “hysteria” and “absurdity”, and many Russians believe that Washington is deliberately stirring up panic and fomenting tensions to trigger a conflict for domestic reasons.
Putin’s angry rhetoric on NATO plans to extend to the “gates” of Russia and son refusal to listen to Moscow’s concerns struck a chord with the audience drawing in one direction of betrayal by the West after the end of the cold war and the general distrust of western conceptions.
Speaking to reporters after US President Joe Biden’s speech call with Putin on Saturday, Foreign Kremlin affairs adviser Yuri Ushakov lamented what he described as American “hysteria” over a supposedly imminent invasion, saying the situation has “reached the point of absurdity.”
United States says that Russia has concentrated over 130,000 soldiers in the east, north and to the south of Ukraine and has the firepower to launch a attack at any moment.
Russian officials have angrily denied any plans at attack Ukraine and dismissed Western concerns over the buildup near the country, arguing that Moscow is free to deploy its troops wherever it pleases on son national territory.
“We don’t understand why they are spreading clearly false information on Russian intentionsUshakov said of the US warnings of an imminent attack.
In 2014, Russia annexed Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula after ousting of the president of the country, a friend of Moscow, and weighed everything son weight behind a separatist insurgency in The industrial heart of eastern Ukraine, the Donbass, where more over 14,000 people Was killed in combat.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova took a more ton combative, denouncing Washington’s warnings of an impending russian attack on Ukraine as “war propaganda” by the United States and some of his allies.
Zakharova alleged that the United States “needs a war at all times price“, accusing that” provocations, disinformation and threats represent his favorite methods of solve itself problems.”
She denounced the allegations of the American intelligence services about an alleged “false flag” operation mounted by Russia to create a pretext for invading Ukraine, comparing them to the then US Secretary of State of Colin Powell’s 2003 speech to the UN Security Council, in that he made the case for war against Iraq, citing erroneous information information claiming that Saddam Hussein secretly hid weapons of mass destruction.
“American politicians have lied, are lying and will continue to lie,” Zakharova said.
Such rhetoric was amplified by state television, where hosts alleged plans nefarious Americans, accusing Washington and its allies of plan fake operations of theirs to encourage warmongering forces in Ukraine will launch a offensive reclaim areas controlled by Russian-backed separatists in east of the country.
Opinion polls indicate that the majority of Russians share such views.
More … than half of respondents in recent surveys conducted by the Levada Center, the most grand independent opinion firm, consider that the United States responsible for the current dead end over Ukraine, about 15% blame it on Ukraine and only 3%-4% think it’s Russia’s fault, while others were undecided, son director Denis Volkov said in comments broadcast earlier this month. National Levada Polls of about 1,600 people have a margin of error not exceeding 3.4% points.
“More people see the conflict as a Russian-American conflict,” Volkov said, adding that respondents in focus group interviews said that the United States could push Ukraine to attack the rebels in the East to draw Russia into the fighting.
Whenon asked if she feared a war, Moscow resident Anaida Gevorgyan dismissed it as Western “propaganda”.
“Russia will never do that,” she said. “We are fraternal people and we have lived together for So many years.”
Russian political analysts are largely dismissive of American war warnings, pointing out that Russia invasion of Ukraine would bear a huge price without offering anything to Putin clear win.
“For Moscow, the risks of a invasion of Ukraine trumps everything possible gains”, the Moscow-based security analyst Sergei Poletayev said in a comment.
Unlike Crimea, which Russia seized from Ukraine in 2014 without firing a shot, and conflict in Donbass, where Moscow denied playing a military role despite Ukrainian and Western claims to the contrary, a full- full-fledged invasion is certain to become a political and economic disaster for Russia.
As the Kremlin seems bent on pulling ukraine back in the orbit of Moscow, a huge offensive will inevitably lead to huge losses, compromising global upright, leading at son international isolation and breaking Putin’s posture as a leader who cares about ordinary Ukrainians and sees both people like one.
“It is impossible to imagine a war with Ukraine,” said Moscow resident Vitaly Ladygin. “We all have parents there, we have always lived together. I love Ukraine and dream to go there once it’s all over.
A attack on Ukraine would be sure to trigger draconian Western sanctions that would further cripple Russia’s stagnating economy hump Putin’s income and erode Putin’s income support. And while the Russian military on could be expected to rout the much weaker Ukrainian army, this will inevitably lead face massive resistance later, resulting in a protracted conflict that would deplete Moscow’s scarce resources.
Sergei Karaganov, a Russian foreigner policy analyst with strong ties to Kremlin thought, said in recently published comments that if “it is necessary to stop the further expansion and militarization of NATO of Ukraine…we certainly don’t have plans to conquer Ukraine.
Many Russian observers predict that instead of launch an invasionPutin might try to keep up the pressure on west with more troop deployments and exercises to keep Ukraine out of NATO.
“Having failed at score a full diplomatic result or dare use forceRussia could turn its military presence near Ukraine into a constant or regularly renewed source of menace which will cause damage to Ukraine that western aid would not be able to compensate”, Alexander Baunov of the Carnegie Moscow Center said in analysis. “It will be also keep the West under tension, and in the end Ukraine and the West could show greater flexibility.
Meanwhile, the talks of an impending russian attack on Ukraine once again prevailed on Tuesday. UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss said the UK government has been on alert for any false flag operations in the next A few days. Truss told Sky News that Russian troops needed to enter Ukraine and they could reach Kiev quickly.
“In terms of the moment of an attack could be imminent,” she said, adding that Russian troops could arrive in Kiev “very, very quickly.”
Germany on Tuesday said it was up to Russia to defuse the conflict around Ukraine, calling for Moscow to withdraw troops as Chancellor Olaf Scholz prepares to meet Putin over crisis.
“The situation is particularly dangerous and could escalate at any time,” said Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock. in a statement before of the discussions in Moscow between the two leaders.
“The responsibility for de-escalation is clearly with Russia, and it is for Moscow to withdraw its troops,” she said. “The EU and NATO are united around Ukraine,” she said, adding that “we must use all the opportunities for dialogue in in order to reach a peaceful solution.”
Scholz’s speeches with Putin in the Kremlin are the latest in an intense diplomatic scramble to dissuade the Russian leader from attacking son ex-Soviet neighbor Ukraine.
The meeting between two leaders in the Kremlin should last for many hours, with a joint press conference to be held at the end. This visit comes at a time when German-Russian relations are at their lowest. The Ukrainian crisis risks overshadowing several unresolved bilateral conflicts between Berlin and Moscow.
Scholz said during his visit to Kyiv on Monday that he wanted put pressure on Putin for de-escalation of crisis in Ukraine. It describes the deployment of tens of thousands of Russian soldiers along the Ukrainian border as “incomprehensible”.
He also warned Russia against launch a attack on Ukraine and underlined that the EU and the United States were ready to react with severe economic sanctions. Forward of the visit, the Ukrainian Ambassador in Germany’s Andriy Melnyk urged Chancellor to take tough stance with Putin.
“Only one clear ultimatum to Mr. Putin with an order deadline back his hordes armed to the teeth no later than February 16 can still save world peace,” Melnyk told newspapers. of Funke from Germany media group in comments published on Tuesday. “Should the Kremlin boss ignore this very last warning of extremely painful preventive sanctions against Russia should be introduced step through step the very next day”, the ambassador added.
Melnyk said the penalties should include a total embargo on imports of oil, gas, coal products and other strategic raw materials, a freeze on Russian state assets abroad, a complete to forbid on investments in Russia and extensive personal sanctions against Russian rulers and oligarchs.
Russia said on Tuesday that some forces deployed near Ukraine were beginning to return to their bases, after a buildup of Moscow’s military around Ukrainian borders sparked fears of a invasion. “Units of south and west military districts, having completed their tasks already started loading on rail and road transport and today they go begin moving their military garrisons,” a defense ministry spokesman said.