a win against Marine Le Pen may not be easy for President Emmanuel Macron in French Presidency run-off As is facing Discontent among the vast expanses of Voters are not affected with for him record over The past five years.
Polls show The run-off It will be far from the walk that I enjoy in The same match-up in 2017 when Macron was won 66% Luban 34%.
This time, a series of Opinion polls suggest Macron will win 51 to 54% against 46 to 49% for Le Pen, with margins of error Le Pen’s victory possible.
“This election, we have to go out And earn Because it’s not a done deal,” government Spokesman Gabriel Attal told France Inter radio on Monday.
Call the current president for wide support after coming out on Top in Sunday first-round vote”Extended his hand” in for millions who Been voted for far-left Leader Jean-Luc Melenchon who third came.
Capital letters of Melenchon on tremendous enthusiasm from young electors in In particular, get away with one-the third of Those between the ages of 18 and 24, for a relative-thirdplace finish who – which left The traditional left – Socialists, Greens and Communists – in torn.
“It is undoubtedly a successhe is improved for him score despite losing it votes for the communists” scientist Simon Persico at the University of Sciences Po in Grenoble.
On Sunday night, a jubilant Melenchon insisted that “nobody vote should Go “to Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally who Once again qualified to face Macron in a run-off on April 24.
But he did not noticeably call on Its base in France is not curved to swing behind Macron and several post-vote Opinion polls have indicated that his electorate is deeply divided for The second round.
A third say they will vote Macron, but one-the third signifies that they are going to Le Pen, with The rest declined.
Valerie Pecres conservative candidate who won less than 5% of The vote also She explicitly refrained from urging her constituents to do so back Macron even though she said she would vote herself for for him.
Polls have suggested it up to half Her base can be seduced by Le Pen, who He tried to modify her image in The last months to appeal to traditional right.
wild turnout card
In general, the far right veteranShe is fighting her third presidency campaignScored highest Among voters between the ages of 25 and 34, that rose by 30% and those between the ages of 35 and 49 (28%), according to a Harris Interactive survey.
Macron did best Only among voters 50 and older, although historically this demographic is more You are likely to go to the polls.
“Le Pen’s image is very different from one she had in 2017. Look less extreme and more Acceptable for a large portion of French population”analysts in bank ING . said in warning of Potential market volatility over The next Two weeks.
beyond the far leftMacron also appeal nearly 25% of registered voters who did not vote Absolutely, well above 22.3% who stayed home in The first round Five years ago.
Turnout tends to decline by several percentages points in The second roundby injecting new fluctuations in race.
However, it is by no means certain that the mass of abstainers will be of on the principle young The will of the French working class want to support reformist head who He promises to raise the retirement age from 62 to 65.
The former The investment banker struggled to shake off Calling him “The President” of the rich,” with critics still boiling over Abolition of the wealth tax on individuals while also cutting Corporate taxes.
he is also Pushed through repairs making it easier to hire and fire Workers, one of Many supporters of the business moves that set firesyellow jacket ‘protests against for him government in 2018 and 2019 – the two Le Pen’s most likely takeover on.
“You have reached out to me left-cleanliness side of voters. you will do challenge Macron on These cases proved complicated for Tara Varma, a Paris-based researcher at the European Council, said: of Foreign affairs.
Many analysts say of These protesters turned to Melenchon or Le Pen, or this time refused to vote.
“I was hoping he would do a job second round. The environment And social justice they will be absent in The run-offAnd people dissatisfied with it,” Pierre Dahomey Nehme, 35-year- said the old Melenchon supporter at the France Unbowed headquarters in Paris on Sunday night.
