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The Eurozone is likely to head into a mild recession: survey

by John Pierce
December 5, 2022
in Business
2 min read
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Euro-zone business Activity declined for the fifth month in November, indicating economy A survey showed the slide into a mild recession as consumers cut spending amid rising inflation on Monday.

Standard & Poor’s Global final Composite PMI for Eurozone, seen as a good A guide to economic health, pay up to 47.8 in November from a 23-month low in October of 47.3, matching an initial estimate.

Any thing below 50 indicates contraction.

“The fifth consecutive monthly decline in output indicated by the PMI adds Chris Williamson, Chairman of the Eurozone Governing Council, said: business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

However, at present, deflation remains Only modest with mitigation in Overall rate of contraction in November means so far region look set Let’s see GDP shrink by just 0.2%.”

Economists gave an average of 78% chance of recession in cluster inside year in Reuters poll last month and predicted economy This will shrink 0.4% quarter.

with demand drop again And a slim possibility of Companies turnaround imminent scaling back on Employment – The Employment Index decreased to 51.8 from 52.5. The unemployment in The region decreased to 6.5% in October, official data showed on Thursday.

Pay PMI covers the service industry dominant in the cluster down to 48.5 from 48.6, its lowest reading since early 2021 and below The initial estimate is 48.6.

However, the input and output price index fell, which indicates the possibility of inflationary pressures already Peaked, probably welcome news For policymakers at the European Central Bank. The output price index was at its lowest level in three months of 62.3.

inflation in Mass was less than expected 10.0% in November, official Preliminary data shown last A week, still five times The ECB’s target of 2%.

Center bank Interest rates have been raised to try to tame it price Rising is expected add Another 50 basis points later this month.

with surveys also fetch tags of After inflation peaked, a headwind on demand From rising the prices should also start To facilitate in the following months, except for severe cases weather over In the winter season, indicating that any recession may be short and relatively mild.

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